Eurobond Simulation Game, post 2008 financial crisis.

Download Euro Summit - Agenda - Fall 2015 detail

DRAFT AGENDA, EUROGROUP MEETING, EUROPEAN COUNCIL SUMMIT, DECEMBER 2, 2015X`
Welcome and introductory remarks (5-10 minutes)
• Jeroen Dijsselbloem, President of the Eurogroup, Koninkrijk der Nederlanden
(Netherlands) (Lohmann)
• Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (Copelovitch)
Opening statements, Ministers of Finance (30 minutes total: 2 minutes each)
• Johan van Overtfeldt, Royaume de Belgique/Koninkrijk België (Belgium) (Kay)
• Mario Centeno, República Portuguesa (Portugal) (Nair)
• Luis de Guindos, Reino de España (Spain) (Bachman)
• Michael Noonan, Republic of Ireland (Donker)
• Pier Carlo Padoan, Repubblica Italiana (Italy) (Pagel)
• Jānis Reirs, Latvijas Republika (Latvia) (Kelly)
• Michel Sapin, République Française (France) (Bray)
• Wolfgang Schäuble, Bundesrepublik Deutschland (Germany) (Arain)
• Hans Jörg Schelling, Republik Österreich (Austria) (Nycz)
• Sven Sester, Eesti Vabariik (Republic of Estonia) (Anderson)
• Cai-Göran Alexander Stubb, Republiken Finland (Pozen)
• Paweł Szałamach, Rzeczpospolita Polska (Poland) (Lesser)
• Euclid Tsakalotos, Helleniki Dimokratia Republika (Greece) (Moller)
Ongoing crisis lending and management (30 minutes)
• Country-specific issues:
o Greece
 Evaluation of the state of Greece’s reforms, recovery, and economy.
Where do we stand?
 Should Greece be offered a new debt relief plan in February, as stated by
Mr. Tsakalotos this week?
 If so, which of the reforms currently on the table for Greece to implement
must be in place by then?
 If so, what will be the scope/terms of such debt relief (% of debt, maturity
extension, etc.)?
 Scope/scale of further bailout packages?
 Grexit: is this an option to be considered? If yes, how will this be
managed? If no, how can Eurozone member-states make clear and
credible our commitment to preventing this outcome?
o Portugal & Spain
 Portugal: impact of the new government on adjustment policies?
 Spain: impact of the upcoming election on adjustment policies?
• Other country-specific issues as needed
o E.g., the long-term “permanent depression” problem in debtor countries
Break (5 minutes)
New crisis management policies (30 minutes)
• General bailout policies: enlarging the European Stability Mechanism and/or creating a
European Monetary Fund
o Should the Eurozone have a formal IMF-style institution/fund?
o Should the ECB become a true lender of last resort?
• Future coordination of lending with IMF
o What is the appropriate division of labor between the Fund and EU institutions?
o Should the ECB continue to link its liquidity support for member-states’ banks to
participation in IMF/EU programs?
• ECB policies: monetary policy, QE, Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT), and
Eurobonds
o Should the ECB pursue further negative interest rates?
o Should the ECB engage in more extensive QE?
o Should the ECB increase its purchases of Eurozone member-state sovereign
bonds?
o Has the Euro’s depreciation against the dollar helped the recovery? Should the
ECB intentionally target greater depreciation?
o Should the ECB issue Eurobonds (Euro-wide treasury bills), either as new debt or
as a replacement for existing member-state bond debt?
• Bail-ins: debt rescheduling, debt reduction
o Should the Eurozone consider a comprehensive debt relief plan, along the lines of
the Brady Plan in Latin America in 1989?
o Should the Eurozone instead consider more extensive, case-by-case debt relief for
individual countries?
o Should the Eurozone establish a sovereign debt restructuring mechanism
(SDRM)?
o Should the Eurozone push for an IMF SDRM?
• Other?
Final discussion (10 minutes)
DRAFT AGENDA, EUROGROUP MEETING, EUROPEAN COUNCIL SUMMIT, DECEMBER 9, 2015
Welcome and introductory remarks (5 minutes)
• Jeroen Dijsselbloem, President of the Eurogroup, Koninkrijk der Nederlanden
(Netherlands) (Lohmann)
• Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (Copelovitch)
Opening statements, Ministers of Finance (30 minutes total: 2 minutes each)
• Johan van Overtfeldt, Royaume de Belgique/Koninkrijk België (Belgium) (Kay)
• Mario Centeno, República Portuguesa (Portugal) (Nair)
• Luis de Guindos, Reino de España (Spain) (Bachman)
• Michael Noonan, Republic of Ireland (Donker)
• Pier Carlo Padoan, Repubblica Italiana (Italy) (Pagel)
• Jānis Reirs, Latvijas Republika (Latvia) (Kelly)
• Michel Sapin, République Française (France) (Bray)
• Wolfgang Schäuble, Bundesrepublik Deutschland (Germany) (Arain)
• Hans Jörg Schelling, Republik Österreich (Austria) (Nycz)
• Sven Sester, Eesti Vabariik (Republic of Estonia) (Anderson)
• Cai-Göran Alexander Stubb, Republiken Finland (Pozen)
• Paweł Szałamach, Rzeczpospolita Polska (Poland) (Lesser)
• Euclid Tsakalotos, Helleniki Dimokratia Republika (Greece) (Moller)
Banking and financial regulation in the Eurozone (30 minutes)
• Banking union (the Single Supervisory Mechanism)
• Regulation and supervision: what will be the division of responsibilities between the ECB
and national central banks?
• Should the ECB/EU institutions be able to directly lend to/recapitalize banks in Eurozone
member-states?
• How to separate/combine monetary policy from financial regulation?
• How to treat/involve Euro vs non-Euro countries?
• Should there be European deposit insurance?
Break (5 minutes)
Reform and sustaining EMU (fiscal and political union, enlargement, etc.) (30 minutes)
• Goals
• Institutions
• Timeline
• Other issues (previous or new)
Final discussion and communiqué (20 minutes)